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Ξ Order Book Imbalance Strategy Backtest — Ethereum

90-day quantitative backtest of the Order Book Imbalance signal for Ethereum (ETH). Performance metrics, trade statistics, and risk analysis. Last updated: June 17, 2026.

⚠ Simulated Backtest — These results are generated from a deterministic simulation model using historical signal characteristics, not from replaying actual trades. Real-world performance will differ due to slippage, fees, and market impact. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Why Order Book Imbalance on Ethereum?

Ethereum is a high-beta asset with DeFi-driven funding distortions and gas-sensitive trading costs, creating unique opportunities during network congestion. The Order Book Imbalance indicator exploits this by trade the bid/ask pressure differential in the order book. Over the 90-day test window, this combination produced a Sharpe ratio of 2.29 with 229 trades — averaging one trade every 9 hours.

The win rate of 48% combined with a 2.09× profit factor means winning trades are significantly larger than losing ones. The maximum drawdown of -29% represents the worst peak-to-trough decline, which occurred during a period of elevated volatility. This drawdown level requires careful position sizing to manage portfolio risk.

Performance Summary

2.29
Sharpe Ratio
-29%
Max Drawdown
48%
Win Rate
229
Total Trades
2.09
Profit Factor
0.39%
Avg Trade

Current Signal State </> API
# Current Order Book Imbalance signal for ETH
$ curl command:
curl https://algotick.dev/v1/signals/imbalance?coin=ETH
Endpoint: /v1/signals/imbalance?coin=ETH
Explore the API →

Current Value
0.5214
Signal
neutral
Indicator
Order Book Imbalance

Trade Statistics

MetricValue
Best Trade+4.9%
Worst Trade-2.4%
Average Trade+0.39%
Win Rate48%
Profit Factor2.09
Total Trades (90d)229
Average Holding Period6h
Max Consecutive Wins8
Max Consecutive Losses6

Methodology

Order Book Imbalance: Order book imbalance measures the ratio of bid-side to ask-side depth. When imbalance is strongly positive (bid-heavy), prices tend to rise; when negative (ask-heavy), prices tend to fall. This indicator generates signals from real-time L2 order book data.

Backtest Parameters:

  • Period: 90 days of 1-minute data from Hyperliquid
  • Signal: imbalance from the Algo Tick API
  • Position sizing: Fixed 1x leverage, no compounding
  • Execution: Market orders at next bar open, 0.05% slippage + 0.02% fees
  • Risk: Stop-loss at 2x ATR, take-profit at 3x ATR

Reproduce This Backtest

Don't run this backtest locally — just query our analytics endpoint:

# Fetch historical signal data for backtesting
import requests

BASE = "https://algotick.dev"

# Get current Order Book Imbalance signal
resp = requests.get(
    f"{BASE}/v1/signals/imbalance",
    params={"coin": "ETH"}
)
signal = resp.json()
print(signal)

# Query historical data for backtesting
hist = requests.get(
    f"{BASE}/v3/analytics/query",
    params={
        "metric": "imbalance",
        "coin": "ETH",
        "hours": 2160  # 90 days
    }
)
data = hist.json()

Our server-side Order Book Imbalance signal generated a 2.3 Sharpe on ETH over the last 90 days

Don't build the infrastructure. Just query the API and focus on your alpha.

Explore API →

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