Skip to content

◎ Whale Flow Strategy Backtest — Solana

90-day quantitative backtest of the Whale Flow signal for Solana (SOL). Performance metrics, trade statistics, and risk analysis. Last updated: June 17, 2026.

⚠ Simulated Backtest — These results are generated from a deterministic simulation model using historical signal characteristics, not from replaying actual trades. Real-world performance will differ due to slippage, fees, and market impact. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Why Whale Flow on Solana?

Solana is a high-throughput L1 with concentrated liquidity on fewer venues, leading to sharper liquidation cascades and wider funding rate extremes. The Whale Flow indicator exploits this by follow institutional-sized order placement patterns. Over the 90-day test window, this combination produced a Sharpe ratio of 1.69 with 169 trades — averaging one trade every 12 hours.

The win rate of 60% combined with a 1.49× profit factor means winning trades are significantly larger than losing ones. The maximum drawdown of -19% represents the worst peak-to-trough decline, which occurred during a period of elevated volatility. This is within acceptable bounds for an algo strategy.

Performance Summary

1.69
Sharpe Ratio
-19%
Max Drawdown
60%
Win Rate
169
Total Trades
1.49
Profit Factor
0.19%
Avg Trade

Current Signal State </> API
# Current Whale Flow signal for SOL
$ curl command:
curl https://algotick.dev/v1/signals/whale-flow?coin=SOL
Endpoint: /v1/signals/whale-flow?coin=SOL
Explore the API →

Current Value
0.3637
Signal
buying
Indicator
Whale Flow

Trade Statistics

MetricValue
Best Trade+2.9%
Worst Trade-2.4%
Average Trade+0.19%
Win Rate60%
Profit Factor1.49
Total Trades (90d)169
Average Holding Period2h
Max Consecutive Wins4
Max Consecutive Losses6

Methodology

Whale Flow: Whale flow analysis tracks unusually large orders (>$100K notional) on the order book. When smart money accumulates on one side of the book, it often precedes directional moves. The indicator computes a whale imbalance score from -1 (all selling) to +1 (all buying).

Backtest Parameters:

  • Period: 90 days of 1-minute data from Hyperliquid
  • Signal: whale_imbalance from the Algo Tick API
  • Position sizing: Fixed 1x leverage, no compounding
  • Execution: Market orders at next bar open, 0.05% slippage + 0.02% fees
  • Risk: Stop-loss at 2x ATR, take-profit at 3x ATR

Reproduce This Backtest

Don't run this backtest locally — just query our analytics endpoint:

# Fetch historical signal data for backtesting
import requests

BASE = "https://algotick.dev"

# Get current Whale Flow signal
resp = requests.get(
    f"{BASE}/v1/signals/whale-flow",
    params={"coin": "SOL"}
)
signal = resp.json()
print(signal)

# Query historical data for backtesting
hist = requests.get(
    f"{BASE}/v3/analytics/query",
    params={
        "metric": "whale_imbalance",
        "coin": "SOL",
        "hours": 2160  # 90 days
    }
)
data = hist.json()

Our server-side Whale Flow signal generated a 1.7 Sharpe on SOL over the last 90 days

Don't build the infrastructure. Just query the API and focus on your alpha.

Explore API →

Other Whale Flow Backtests

Other Indicators — Solana

Continue the Research

🎯 Alpha Strategies📖 Playbooks📁 Data Library📋 Scorecards