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Liquidation Cascades Scorecard
Detects zones where concentrated liquidation risk exists by analyzing open interest distribution, leverage patterns, and recent liquidation events.
Signal Quality
| Period | Accuracy | Samples | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 55% | 504 | ⚠️ Low sample |
| 30d | 56% | 2,160 | ✅ Significant |
| 90d | 54% | 6,480 | ✅ Significant |
Calibration: Hit rate for liquidation cascade detection: % of detected cascades (>$1M in 5min) that led to >0.5% reversal within 1h.
Current Reading
Current Value
-0.1060
hlp_liquidation_alerts
Methodology Version
v1.2 (2025-12)
Current liquidation volume vs 30-day distribution.
24h History
500 data points · hlp_liquidation_alerts
Strengths & Weaknesses
✅ Strengths
- Good at detecting extreme events
- Useful for risk management
- Real-time alerts
Best regime: risk-off (cascading liquidations)
⚠️ Weaknesses
- Low sample size (cascades are rare)
- High false-positive rate for small liquidations
- Exchange-specific data
Worst regime: calm, range-bound markets
Methodology Changelog
| Date | Version | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12 | v1.2 | Added cascade detection threshold tuning |
| 2025-08 | v1.0 | Initial launch with raw liquidation event stream |
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