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Liquidation Cascade Fade

Fade the extreme price moves caused by cascading liquidations

Live Suitability Check

SUITABLE High volatility regime — cascades more likely
Regime: sell
Vol: high
Composite: -0.229
Funding: -0.049
Imbalance: -0.175

What This Strategy Does

When leveraged positions get liquidated in a cascade, prices overshoot fair value. This strategy identifies cascade events in real-time and fades the extreme move, buying the forced-selling dip or shorting the forced-buying spike.

Works when: Works best when >$1M in liquidations occur within 5 minutes and price has moved >1.5% from pre-cascade levels. Historical 55% hit rate on reversal within 1h.
Fails when: Fails when the cascade is the start of a genuine trend reversal (not just over-leverage). Also fails when cascades trigger further cascades (multi-wave events).

Backtest Summary

Sharpe Ratio
1.2
Win Rate
55%
Max Drawdown
-14.7%
Risk Level
High
Period: 2025-03 to 2026-03 · Time horizon: 15m – 4h

Entry/Exit Checklist

  • ✅ Cascade detected (>$1M liquidations in 5min)
  • ✅ Price moved >1.5% from pre-cascade level
  • ✅ Wait for cascade to slow (no new liq events for 30s)
  • ✅ Funding rate was extreme before cascade (confirming over-leverage)
  • ⚠️ Reduce size for multi-wave cascades
  • ⚠️ Don't fade if cascade aligns with macro trend

Math & Logic

Entry: After cascade >$1M in 5min AND price move >1.5%
Direction: Opposite to cascade direction
Target: 50% retracement of cascade move
Stop: New highs/lows beyond cascade extreme

Signal History — 24h

500 data points · hlp_liquidation_alerts

Required Signals

Liquidation AlertsFunding RateVolatility RegimeOI Change

API Endpoints

curl "https://algotick.dev/v1/signals/composite"
curl "https://algotick.dev/v1/signals/volatility"

Datasets for Backtesting

📁 Trades📁 Funding📁 Orderbook

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